Outcome Metrics

Prove value with eight tenant-admin metrics — without leaving Jira.

The renewal question

"Is Armada actually delivering value?" is the conversation that decides renewal. Without outcome metrics, the answer is anecdotes. With outcome metrics, the answer is a table: time-to-launch, completion, recall, AI usage, template reuse — derived from real campaign state and persisted events, not from opinions.

What gets measured

  • Time to launch (minutes) — Median minutes between a campaign's launch event and the first child issue being touched. Lower is better.
  • Campaign completion (percent) — Percentage of campaigns in the window where at least 80% of children reached Done.
  • Recall rate (percent) — Percentage of campaigns in the window that ended via recall. A trust signal — lower is stronger.
  • Auto-nudge response (percent) — Percentage of nudges followed by child issue activity within 48 hours of being sent.
  • Drift incidents (count) — Drift events per active campaign per window (PROJECT_MISSING, PERMISSION_DENIED, ISSUE_TYPE_MISSING, COMPASS_COMPONENT_DELETED, COMPASS_TEAM_RENAMED).
  • AI analyzer invocations (count) — Successful AI analyzer calls in the window.
  • AI token spend (tokens) — Input + output tokens consumed by the AI analyzer in the window. Tenant-admin cost visibility.
  • Template reuse (ratio) — Average number of campaigns instantiated per saved mission template. Higher signals template fitness.

How it works

  • Tenant-wide rollup. Lives on the Armada admin page in a dedicated tab. Site administrators see all campaigns, all teams, all signals in one window.
  • Period-over-period trends. Each metric carries a trend lozenge against the immediately preceding window of equal length — direction-aware (lower recall rate = UP trend; higher completion = UP trend).
  • Real events, 90-day retention. A chunked Forge Storage event log (RECALL, NUDGE_SENT, AI_INVOCATION, TEMPLATE_INSTANTIATION) is appended at the operation seam and pruned daily.
  • Operator rollup on Compass. A three-row card on the Compass global page surfaces campaign completion, recall rate, and AI token spend so operators (not just site admins) see tenant outcome at a glance.
Armada admin page Outcome Metrics tab with eight metrics, sample sizes, and trend lozenges.

Where it shows up

  • Admin page — full eight-row table with sample sizes and trends. Window selector (7 / 30 / 90 days / all time).
  • Compass global page — compact three-row card for operators.
  • Audit log — every metric read is audited (event: audit.access.outcome_metrics) with actor, time, and window. See the Audit Log page.

Privacy and access

Outcome metrics are admin-gated server-side via isJiraAdmin. Non-admin reads are rejected and audited as outcome=blocked. Metrics do not include personally identifying content from issues — just aggregate counts and percentages.

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